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As long as Wentz is this hot --which we expect him to stay in this game – you can keep using him) Falcons @ Jets Trust: Julio Jones (his demise was always overextended since he had double-digit points in every full game played and has averaged 92.5 yards per game over his past four full outings) Bust: Austin Hooper (with Sanu on the field, you just can’t count on the targets being there), Taylor Gabriel (ditto), Robby Anderson (always a candidate for splash play, but Atlanta has allowed the fewest receptions of 20 or more yards in the league), Tevin Coleman (he’s still an option for teams hurt by the bye weeks, but his receiving use has dropped off, receiving just two targets over the past two games and has just 16 touches total over that span while hitting 50 yards from scrimmage just once over the past four weeks) Reasonable Return: Matt Ryan (the Jets have allowed 16 or more points to opposing quarterbacks in five of seven games, but there may not be much of a ceiling to chase here as Ryan hasn’t shown the ability to cash in yet and both teams don’t push to run a lot of plays), Devonta Freeman (he’s had a strong floor, but has been higher than an RB2 just twice and although the Jets are hemorrhaging rushing yardage regularly to teams, they’ve allowed only one individual running back to hit 100-yards on the season), Jermaine Kearse (he’s far from intoxicating, but has been a WR3 or better in five of seven games), Mohamed Sanu (he’s been a WR3 or better in every full game of the season), Matt Forte (while the backfield is a slight mess and shouldn’t be counted on for rushing output, Forte is the player to use as he’s now been a top-20 scorer in each of his past three full games played 15 receptions in those games), Austin Seferian-Jenkins (he’s averaged just 34.6 yards per game since returning, but has averaged 5.2 receptions and has scored in three straight games), Josh Mc Cown (I haven’t given Mc Cown enough credit here because he’s passed for 250 yards just once on the season and, yet he keeps finding his way to usable fantasy lines, but only Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady have been top-12 scorers versus Atlanta this season.He's a floor option at the position only) Texans @ Seahawks Trust: Russell Wilson (he’s been better on the road and has stacked points late in games, but Houston had allowed 15 or more points to each of the three quarterbacks they faced prior to Kevin Hogan and 25 or more to two of those), Jimmy Graham (he left a ton of points on the field last week, but turned in his fourth straight TE1 scoring week and Houston has allowed top-5 weeks to both top tier tight ends they’ve faced thus far) Bust: Will Fuller (he has five touchdowns on eight catches in his three games returning from injury with a high of 62 yards in a game, a flimsy way to live against one of the best secondaries in the league while he runs half of his routes against Richard Sherman), Paul Richardson (he hasn’t had more than three catches in a game since Week 1 with more than five targets in just one of those games), Tyler Lockett (he’s been a top-40 scorer just twice on the season), SEA RBs (this backfield has been the heart of darkness for fantasy) Reasonable Return: Deshaun Watson (we know regression is inevitably going to set in at some point and this spot looks as good as any for his touchdown rate to come down, but that doesn’t mean you have to run and hide since he also adds production with his legs), De Andre Hopkins (Seattle has allowed just one top-24 scoring wide receiver since Week 1, but Hopkins the majority of his routes away from Richard Sherman), Lamar Miller (“reasonable return” was made for Miller, he’s been the RB23 or RB24 in four of his six games), Doug Baldwin (Houston has only allowed two wide receivers to score above WR30 and they both came in the Patriots game, but Baldwin showed last week he’s still capable of overcoming a tough draw on paper and the individual corners for New York are better than the ones Houston has) Cowboys @ Washington Trust: Dak Prescott (he’s been a QB1 in every game this season while Washington has surrendered QB1 and QB5 games in two of their past surrounding a home a game with the 49ers), Ezekiel Elliott (he’s had 219, 132 and 139 yards from scrimmage over his past three games), Kirk Cousins (he’s been a QB1 in each of his past four games while Dallas has allowed 20.1 points per game to quarterbacks since Week 1), Chris Thompson (he’s had 12 or more touches in three of his past four games and Dallas is 25 in receiving points allowed to opposing backfields), Jason Witten (his 20.4 percent target share ranks fourth among tight ends and Washington has allowed a TE1 in every game except for one and the third most points per game the position) Bust: Josh Doctson (he’s overtaken Terrelle Pryor, but is still just a hold for seasonal leagues and an upside flyer in DFS since the production for fantasy still hasn’t manifested and no Washington wideout has been leaned on at any point this season), Jamison Crowder (I'm all out of analysis for Crowder) Reasonable Return: Jordan Reed (he did his damage when all hell broke loose last week, but it’s the best he’s looked all season by a long stretch and this offense is running through Thompson and the tight ends), Dez Bryant (the big yardage remains absent and should continue to elude him against Washington who has allowed one wide receiver to reach 70 yards in a game, but Bryant can score in any game), Rob Kelley (we know Washington wants to be more balanced on offense and they can achieve that versus Dallas, but Thompson is earning more touches, leaving Kelley as only a flex option), Cole Beasley (the two biggest weeks that Washington has allowed to wideouts this season have been to Nelson Agholor, a primary slot option, while Beasley had 5-56 and 5-75 in two games versus Washington a year ago with Bryant active in each game) Steelers @ Lions Trust: Le'Veon Bell (he’s averaging 25.2 points per game over his past five games and the Lions lost Haloti Ngata for the season while they are dripping receiving output to backs), Antonio Brown (he’s been the WR8 or higher in each of his past four games and while Darius Slay is a fine player, there’s no downgrade here for Brown) Bust: Matthew Stafford (he’s the best quarterback Pittsburgh has faced outside of Alex Smith, but with Pittsburgh limiting opponent plays per game, it’s hard to love his outlook), Eric Ebron (the Steelers have allowed double-digit points to just one tight end on the season), Ameer Abdullah (Pittsburgh can be run on, but how long does Detroit stick with it and who else shares touches with him in this game?
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The labels for each subset of players for each game are simply a vehicle for those expectations and have a different context for each player that you can find at the end of the column.
I encourage that you use the game by game tables and data points here in conjunction with the Start/Sit column posted weekly by Nick Mensio, Pat Daugherty’s rankings in the Goal Line Stand, Evan Silva’s Matchup’s column, Ray Summerlin's Waiver Wired and most importantly, your own information and thought process. With that out of the way, let’s hit all the Week 8 games with a PPR light…
Abdullah entered the bye coming off games with just 11 and 14 touches and sharing goal line work), Kenny Golladay/T. Jones (given the Steelers performance so far against opposing wide receivers, I wouldn’t look to any of the ancillary options at the position as blind faith plays in hopes the receive a large target boost) Reasonable Return: Ben Roethlisberger (he’s averaged 9.7 yards per attempt over the past two weeks and Detroit has allowed multiple touchdown passes to three of the past four quarterbacks they’ve faced, but while the Steelers have been riding Bell, the ceiling just hasn’t been there for fantasy output), Ju Ju Smith-Schuster (Martavis Bryant may have finally talked his way out of rest of season opportunity and that’s all we need to finally unlock for Smith-Schuster, who still has had more than three catches in just one game while Detroit has been vulnerable to slot production all season), Theo Riddick (his snaps and receiving opportunity were on the rise prior to the bye, finishing as a flex option in each game.
Pittsburgh has allowed five or more catches to three different backs and I hate to sound like a broken record, but Tate’s volume has to trickle down somewhere while the Steelers should handle these wideouts), Marvin Jones (the most yards the Steelers have allowed to any receiver this season has been 61 yards, but with Golden Tate on the shelf, Jones should see the most targets he’ll get all season and is still a WR3 volume-based option) Broncos @ Chiefs Trust: Travis Kelce (he received 27 targets in two games versus the Broncos last year, posting over 100-yards in each game while tight ends have accounted for 34 percent of the receiving yards against Denver, the second-highest share in the league) Bust: C. Anderson (it’s another great paper matchup, but just like last week’s matchup was in his favor but netted no results, Anderson is not a player to pursue when Denver is anticipating negative game script), Demarcus Robinson (this is not a matchup to chas ehis WR26 scoring week from Week 7) Reasonable Return: Alex Smith (I feel similarly about Smith as I do Deshaun Watson this week.
Did Belichick betray Tom Brady by benching Malcolm Butler?
Was it unethical for Josh Mc Daniels to jilt the Colts? Is it even conceivable that Spencer Ware outscores Kareem Hunt next season?
This split will likely continue to hedge towards Washington on the ground and Richard through the air, while the Bills have allowed more than 80 yards from scrimmage to just one back on the season) 49ers @ Eagles Trust: Carson Wentz (he’s been a top-5 scorer in five games this season as he’s throwing a ton of touchdowns and rushing for yardage weekly while San Francisco has allowed 28.4 points per game to past four quarterbacks they’ve faced), Zach Ertz (the 49ers have been stout against tight ends, but Ertz has double-digit points in every game this season and the Eagles are expected to move the ball at will) Bust: C. Beathard (a late rushing touchdown turned a terrible day into a below average one and while the Eagles have allowed six consecutive QB1 games, this is just an all-encompassing spot that isn’t trustworthy on a week with good quarterback options) Reasonable Return: Carlos Hyde (the Eagles have been rough on opposing running backs, but they have hardly faced any volume and have faced a litany of timeshare units to start the season.
Volume is still a major issue here being such a large road underdog, but both of these teams run a lot of plays per game and Hyde has been a top-20 back in every game except for one), Alshon Jeffery (he’s had just one top-30 scoring week on the season, but the matchup is right, and we love Wentz here), Le Garrette Blount/Wendell Smallwood (backs have tormented the 49ers once again in phases of the offense), Pierre Garcon (you know what you’re getting here, he’s been a WR3 or better in every game except for two), George Kittle (there was no sign as to why he lost opportunity last week, but the Eagles just lost Jordan Hicks for the season and then were gashed by Jordan Reed afterwards for anyone that can stomach going back to the well), Nelson Agholor (he has yet to catch more than four passes since Week 1, but has scored in three straight games.
Matt doesn’t just tell you what you want to hear, he tells you what you DON’T want to hear, and then convinces you with his argument / POV to hop on board! If you want to listen to narratives and coach speak and crutch arguments, don’t listen to this show. Would the Jaguars be Super Bowl favorites with AJ Mc Carron?